Nate Silver had a headline that read: Why I’d Bet on Santorum (and Against My Model)
I thought: NO!!!! Nate, why? Why?
The reason should be clear: why HAVE a model that includes all the parameters you deem relevant, if you then throw away the model if you don’t like the results?
So, I really wish that those people who have forecasting models to NOT hedge their bets here. Either you have a model or you don’t.
Brian doesn’t blindly follow his off-the-wall forecast. Good for him.
You got that, everyone? Don’t disregard your model if you don’t like the results and don’t put stock in the crazy forecasts from your model.